quinta-feira, 2 de fevereiro de 2012

Multiplicador de zero

Debating economic policy

Stimulus, austerity and the weltgeist

The Economist
Mike Grabell is out with a book-length investigation of the stimulus, titled "Money Well Spent?"
In an interview last week on NPR's Fresh Air, Mr Grabell said the stimulus effort had its good points and its bad points...
In an excerpt from the book on the electric car and battery industry jump-started by stimulus funding, Mr Grabell says the jury is still out...
Over the past month, Paul Krugman, Brad DeLong, and Simon Wren-Lewis engaged in an interminable duel with Tyler Cowen, Scott Sumner, sort-of Karl Smith (occupying as usual an esoteric position not easily placed on the ideological grid), and probably some other people I'm forgetting—over an old argument by John Cochrane claiming that the multiplier effect of government stimulus spending probably ought to be zero...
Two weeks ago, Mr Cochrane responded to the argument in a fashion that suggested that either he has changed his mind, or he never thought what the expansionary-austerity people claimed he did in the first place...
Niall Ferguson has spent the last three years arguing, contra Paul Krugman, that America is courting disaster by allowing deficits to balloon its national debt to such high levels, and will have to reign in spending or face a crippling rise in interest rates. Last week, in an interview with Henry Blodget, he admitted defeat.
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Vaja também:
Antony Mueller: The stimulus scam

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